Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Sebastian Ofner		Murphy Cassone

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.64	2.13
	1.61	2.44
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.63	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.5)	2.23 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
58.1%

Murphy Cassone
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Sebastian Ofner - Murphy Cassone Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Ofner will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sebastian Ofner will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ofner is ranked ATP: 108. Cassone is ranked ATP: 275.

Ofner is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Cassone has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cassone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ofner might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Ofner will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - George Loffhagen	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Clement Chidekh - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Sebastian Ofner - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Sebastian Ofner - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW
- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Murphy Cassone - Charles Broom	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Murphy Cassone - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Murphy Cassone - Maxence Bertimon	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Murphy Cassone - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLL

Sebastian Ofner - Murphy Cassone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide