Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Saint Brieuc, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday


	Sebastian Ofner		Matteo Martineau

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.6	2.47
	1.50	2.51	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.53	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.36)	2.37 ↓ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
60.5%

Matteo Martineau
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Ofner's form might have worsened.

Matteo Martineau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Martineau's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Ofner, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Martineau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Sebastian Ofner - Matteo Martineau Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Martineau will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ofner (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Martineau (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Martineau (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Ofner (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Ofner (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Martineau (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Ofner is ranked ATP: 132. Martineau is ranked ATP: 350.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ofner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ofner is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Challenger
25.02.26	Sebastian Ofner - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Sebastian Ofner - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
16.02.26	Sebastian Ofner - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Sebastian Ofner	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Sebastian Ofner	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLL?
- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
26.02.26	Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Matteo Martineau - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Matteo Martineau - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
01.02.26	Matteo Martineau - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Matteo Martineau - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLL

Sebastian Ofner - Matteo Martineau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide