Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.59	Watch
	2.54	1.6
	2.48	1.54	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.49)	1.58 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
39.4%

Sebastian Ofner
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ofner (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Sebastian Ofner will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 120. Ofner is ranked ATP: 83.

Basilashvili is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ofner has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Basilashvili may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ofner could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Basilashvili won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Nikoloz Basilashvili - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 38.06%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Madrid
21.04.26	Patrick Kypson - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Stefano Travaglia - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
11.04.26	Ethan Quinn - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Christian Garin	Canceled ✺
04.04.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWL?W
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Alex De Minaur - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Sebastian Ofner - Patrick Kypson	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Sebastian Ofner - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.04.26	Raul Brancaccio - Sebastian Ofner	Ofner S. Retired ✺
28.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Kitzbuhel
31.07.17	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sebastian Ofner	Basilashvili N. retired

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sebastian Ofner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide