Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Daniel Milavsky

	1	2
	1.62	2.20
	1.62	2.20
	1.63	2.23
	1.68	2.29
	1.56	2.3	Watch
	1.63	2.25
	1.59	2.36	Watch
	1.60	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.67)	2.26 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
58.3%

Daniel Milavsky
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Daniel Milavsky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Milavsky than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Daniel Milavsky Predictions

Users Predictions: Shintaro Mochizuki will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 117. Milavsky is ranked ATP: 316.

Mochizuki is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Milavsky has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Milavsky may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mochizuki will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Shintaro Mochizuki - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 54.74%, but this team recently wins 77% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.26	Jeffrey John Wolf - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.07.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL
- Daniel Milavsky
ATP Challenger
15.08.26	Daniel Milavsky - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
14.08.26	Daniel Milavsky - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Edas Butvilas - Daniel Milavsky	0:2 ✺
10.08.26	Felix Balshaw - Daniel Milavsky	1:2 ✺
30.07.26	Daniel Milavsky - Keegan Rice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWL

Shintaro Mochizuki - Daniel Milavsky: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide