Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	21:50	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:50	HBO Max
Bulgaria	22:50	HBO Max
Croatia	21:50	HBO Max
Czech Republic	21:50	HBO Max
Denmark	21:50	HBO Max
Finland	22:50	HBO Max
France	21:50	HBO Max
Hungary	21:50	HBO Max
Moldova	22:50	HBO Max
Montenegro	21:50	HBO Max
Netherlands	21:50	HBO Max
North Macedonia	21:50	HBO Max
Norway	21:50	HBO Max
Poland	21:50	HBO Max
Romania	22:50	HBO Max
Serbia	21:50	HBO Max
Slovenia	21:50	HBO Max
Spain	21:50	HBO Max
Sweden	21:50	HBO Max


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Roman Andres Burruchaga

	1	2
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.3
	1.6	2.27
	1.63	2.31
	1.60	2.30	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.56	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.65)	2.29 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
58.9%

Roman Andres Burruchaga
41.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Roman Andres Burruchaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Roman Andres Burruchaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Burruchaga will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mochizuki: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mochizuki (votes: 1 - 50%). Burruchaga (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 112. Burruchaga is ranked ATP: 144.

Mochizuki is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Burruchaga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mochizuki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mochizuki might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mochizuki won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Shintaro Mochizuki - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 57.8%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
15.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Filip Misolic	2:1 ✺
14.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWW
- Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Justin Engel	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
14.08.25	Dusan Lajovic - Roman Andres Burruchaga	Lajovic D. retired ✺
25.07.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Marc-Andrea Huesler	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WL?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0
ATP US Open
21.08.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0
Boys Singles Wimbledon
09.07.19	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2

Shintaro Mochizuki - Roman Andres Burruchaga