Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca, grass - Final

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Romania	Prima Sport 3
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Ethan Quinn		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.40	1.57
	2.35	1.60
	2.50	1.63
	2.48	1.57	Watch
	2.40	1.60	Watch
	2.53	1.54	Watch
	2.30	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.47)	1.58 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethan Quinn
39.5%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethan Quinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethan Quinn than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.1%	0%	73.9%

Ethan Quinn - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Quinn will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 56% – 91.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Davidovich Fokina (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Davidovich Fokina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Quinn is ranked ATP: 63. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 25.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Quinn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Davidovich Fokina might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Davidovich Fokina will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethan Quinn
ATP Mallorca
26.06.26	Nuno Borges - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	Ethan Quinn - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Murphy Cassone - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Francis Tiafoe - Ethan Quinn	Canceled
22.06.26	Ethan Quinn - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWW?W
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Mallorca
26.06.26	Fabian Marozsan - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
25.06.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Adam Walton - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP London
19.06.26	Tommy Paul - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Corentin Moutet - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLW

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