Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Yosuke Watanuki

	1	2
	2.10	1.67	Watch
	2.10	1.65
	2.12	1.68
	2.09	1.65	Watch
	2.16	1.72
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.08	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.1)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
44.2%

Yosuke Watanuki
55.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Yosuke Watanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Yosuke Watanuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Watanuki will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 123., and Watanuki is ranked ATP: 406..

In recent outings, Mochizuki has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Watanuki shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Watanuki may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Watanuki in today's match, at odds of 1.67.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Shintaro Mochizuki - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.85%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Yosuke Watanuki - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.15%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
15.10.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.26	Roman Safiullin - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Taro Daniel - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
28.09.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWL
- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Challenger
15.10.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
14.10.26	Andre Ilagan - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
12.10.26	Kaito Uesugi - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	Semen Pankin - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Marat Sharipov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Shintaro Mochizuki	✺

Shintaro Mochizuki - Yosuke Watanuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide