Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Taro Daniel		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.10
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.61	2.26	Watch
	1.63	2.2
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.55)	2.18 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Taro Daniel
57.1%

Shintaro Mochizuki
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taro Daniel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Taro Daniel - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Daniel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Daniel is ranked ATP: 172., and Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 120..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Mochizuki could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Daniel is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Daniel has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Taro Daniel - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 60.36%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taro Daniel
ATP Tokyo
28.09.26	Daniel Vallejo - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
25.09.26	Fabian Marozsan - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Dane Sweeny - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Taro Daniel - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Taro Daniel - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Tokyo
28.09.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Martin Damm - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Linang Xiao	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.11.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Taro Daniel	Mochizuki S. retired

Upcoming Matches