Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: TOKYO (JAPAN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 October 2023, Monday


	Sho Shimabukuro		Christian Garin

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.8	1.42
	2.7	1.45
	2.88	1.47
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.72	1.46	Watch
	2.65	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.45)	1.45 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
34.6%

Christian Garin
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sho Shimabukuro - Christian Garin Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Shimabukuro will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Garin will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimabukuro: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Shimabukuro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Garin will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Shanghai
02.10.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Arthur Weber	1:2 ✺
ATP Astana
30.09.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
28.09.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	Taro Daniel - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
26.09.23	Saba Purtseladze - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWW
- Christian Garin
ATP Tokyo
14.10.23	Rinky Hijikata - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Philip Sekulic - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.23	Christian Garin - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
04.10.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
27.09.23	Christian Garin - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWL

Sho Shimabukuro - Christian Garin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide