Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 September 2023, Thursday


	Sho Shimabukuro		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.2	1.65	Watch
	2.12	1.73
	2.25	1.71
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.26	1.64	Watch
	2.07	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.24)	1.71 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
44.5%

Roberto Carballes Baena
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36%	0%	64%

Sho Shimabukuro - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Shimabukuro will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 16 - 64%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Shimabukuro is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carballes Baena is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shimabukuro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Carballes Baena to win the game is with odds 1.8.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Astana
27.09.23	Taro Daniel - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
26.09.23	Saba Purtseladze - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
17.09.23	Daniel Cukierman - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Yshai Oliel - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Hugo Gaston	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
18.09.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
12.09.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Vit Kopriva	Canceled
09.09.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
08.09.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
07.09.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 L?WWW

Sho Shimabukuro - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide