Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
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	Sho Shimabukuro		Jaime Faria

	1	2
	1.80	2.00	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.85	1.95
	1.87	2.08
	1.86	1.9	Watch
	1.84	2.01
	1.82	2.02	Watch
	1.80	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.7)	1.98 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 40.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
51.9%

Jaime Faria
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sho Shimabukuro's form might have worsened.

Jaime Faria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jaime Faria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Sho Shimabukuro - Jaime Faria Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Shimabukuro will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Faria will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Faria: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimabukuro (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Faria (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 97. Faria is ranked ATP: 97.

Recent performances by Shimabukuro have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Faria is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Faria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Jaime Faria - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 42.39%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Halle
17.06.26	Francis Tiafoe - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
13.06.26	Ben Shelton - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
11.06.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Nick Kyrgios	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Quentin Halys - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWLWW
- Jaime Faria
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.26	Jaime Faria - Rei Sakamoto	3:1 ✺
24.06.26	Jaime Faria - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Jaime Faria - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Jaime Faria - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
15.06.26	Jaime Faria - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW

Sho Shimabukuro - Jaime Faria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide