Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Halle, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Francis Tiafoe		Sho Shimabukuro

	1	2
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.35	3.10
	1.40	2.95
	1.44	3.10
	1.39	2.98	Watch
	1.36	3.10	Watch
	1.42	2.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.5)	3.03 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
68.5%

Sho Shimabukuro
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francis Tiafoe's performance.

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sho Shimabukuro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francis Tiafoe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sho Shimabukuro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Francis Tiafoe - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Francis Tiafoe will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 26. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 97.

Recent performances by Tiafoe have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shimabukuro is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shimabukuro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tiafoe is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Francis Tiafoe - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.41%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Halle
15.06.26	Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
12.06.26	Jiri Lehecka - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
11.06.26	Rinky Hijikata - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
09.06.26	Daniel Altmaier - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.26	Francis Tiafoe - Matteo Arnaldi	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Halle
16.06.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
13.06.26	Ben Shelton - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
11.06.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Nick Kyrgios	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Quentin Halys - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
07.06.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWWW

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