Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday


	Kamil Majchrzak		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.6	1.48	Watch
	2.8	1.49
	2.71	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.63	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.19)	1.48 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kamil Majchrzak
35.9%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kamil Majchrzak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kamil Majchrzak's form might have worsened.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Camilo Ugo Carabelli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kamil Majchrzak than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kamil Majchrzak, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Kamil Majchrzak - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Users Predictions: Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Majchrzak is ranked ATP: 76. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 61.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Majchrzak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ugo Carabelli could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 57.33%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kamil Majchrzak
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Kamil Majchrzak	Canceled ✺
ATP Marrakech
01.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Kamil Majchrzak	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.26	Quentin Halys - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 ?LWLW
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
15.05.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
14.05.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
06.05.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLW

Kamil Majchrzak - Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide