Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Delray Beach, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Delray Beach 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	00:00	TV2 Play
Finland	01:00	MTV Katsomo+
Portugal	23:00	Sport TV7
United Kingdom	23:00	Sky Sports Tennis


	Sho Shimabukuro		Marcos Giron

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.41	Watch
	3.11	1.41
	2.88	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.28)	1.4 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
32.1%

Marcos Giron
67.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.9%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

75.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sho Shimabukuro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcos Giron could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Sho Shimabukuro - Marcos Giron Predictions

Users Predictions: Marcos Giron will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marcos Giron will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 144. Giron is ranked ATP: 59.

Shimabukuro is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Giron has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Giron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Giron is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Delray Beach
15.02.26	Adam Walton - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Benjamin Willwerth - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
10.02.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWW
- Marcos Giron
ATP Dallas
10.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Learner Tien - Marcos Giron	3:2 ✺
ATP Auckland
15.01.26	Sebastian Baez - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Luciano Darderi - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Marcos Giron - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	✺

Sho Shimabukuro - Marcos Giron