Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Auckland, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Auckland 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	09:35	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	00:35	Max Sport 1
Czech Republic	23:35	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	23:35	TV2 Play
Finland	00:35	MTV Urheilu 1
Netherlands	23:35	Ziggo Sport 4
Romania	00:35	Prima Sport PPV 1
Sweden	23:35	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United Kingdom	22:35	Sky Sports Tennis


	Luciano Darderi		Marcos Giron

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.42	Watch
	2.78	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.89	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.67)	1.42 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
33.3%

Marcos Giron
66.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Luciano Darderi - Marcos Giron Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Giron will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Giron: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marcos Giron will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 24. Giron is ranked ATP: 60.

Giron is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Giron may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Giron is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Giron will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Darderi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Auckland
13.01.26	Luciano Darderi - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
ATP Athens
05.11.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Luciano Darderi - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
20.10.25	Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
16.10.25	Luciano Darderi - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL
- Marcos Giron
ATP Auckland
13.01.26	Marcos Giron - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Alexandre Muller - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
10.01.26	Marcos Giron - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Marcos Giron - Michael Mmoh	Mmoh M. retired ✺
08.01.26	Alexandre Muller - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Eastbourne
24.06.25	Luciano Darderi - Marcos Giron	0:2
ATP Houston
05.04.24	Marcos Giron - Luciano Darderi	0:2

Luciano Darderi - Marcos Giron