Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Auckland, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday


	Marcos Giron		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.8	Watch
	1.87	1.93	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.03	1.82	Watch
	2	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.48)	1.81 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcos Giron
47.8%

Alex Michelsen
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marcos Giron's performance.

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Michelsen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marcos Giron that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Michelsen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Marcos Giron - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Giron will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Michelsen will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Giron: 77.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marcos Giron will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giron is ranked ATP: 60. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 37.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Giron may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Michelsen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Michelsen will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Giron won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Michelsen - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 63.1%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcos Giron
ATP Auckland
12.01.26	Alexandre Muller - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
10.01.26	Marcos Giron - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Marcos Giron - Michael Mmoh	Mmoh M. retired ✺
08.01.26	Alexandre Muller - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Laslo Djere - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WL?WW
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Auckland
12.01.26	Mariano Navone - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
10.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Sebastian Korda - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Alex Michelsen - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	James Duckworth - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
22.10.24	Alex Michelsen - Marcos Giron	0:2
ATP Newport
21.07.24	Alex Michelsen - Marcos Giron	1:2

Marcos Giron - Alex Michelsen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide