Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Sloane Stephens		Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.7	1.28	Watch
	3.88	1.3
	3.72	1.26	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.7	1.28	Watch
	2.66	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.66)	1.31 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sloane Stephens
26.8%

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
73.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sloane Stephens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sloane Stephens's form might have worsened.

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Camila Osorio Serrano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sloane Stephens than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sloane Stephens - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Osorio Serrano will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Stephens is ranked WTA: 780. Osorio Serrano is ranked WTA: 61.

Stephens is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Osorio Serrano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Osorio Serrano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Osorio Serrano is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sloane Stephens
WTA Merida
24.02.26	Sloane Stephens - Renata Zarazua	Canceled ✺
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Karolina Pliskova - Sloane Stephens	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Sloane Stephens	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Sloane Stephens - Olivia Gadecki	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Sloane Stephens - Barbora Palicova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 ?LWWW
- Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
WTA Merida
25.02.26	Katie Boulter - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	Osorio C. retired ✺
24.02.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Janice Tjen	2:0 ✺
WTA Doha
11.02.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Katerina Siniakova	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Emma Raducanu - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	Raducanu E. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 ?WLW?

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