Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rovereto, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rovereto 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Sofia Costoulas		Lucrezia Stefanini

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Sofia Costoulas
48.5%

Lucrezia Stefanini
51.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofia Costoulas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Lucrezia Stefanini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofia Costoulas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Costoulas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Stefanini will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Costoulas is ranked WTA: 166. Stefanini is ranked WTA: 152.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofia Costoulas
ATP Challenger
24.10.25	Darja Semenistaja - Sofia Costoulas	1:2 ✺
22.10.25	Jana Fett - Sofia Costoulas	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Radka Zelnickova - Sofia Costoulas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.10.25	Alexis Blokhina - Sofia Costoulas	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Francesca Curmi - Sofia Costoulas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLW
- Lucrezia Stefanini
ATP Challenger
24.10.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Gabriela Knutson	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Marina Bassols Ribera	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Anastasiya Soboleva	Sobolieva A. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.10.25	Linda Klimovicova - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:1 ✺
16.10.25	Raluca Georgiana Serban - Lucrezia Stefanini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WW?LW

Sofia Costoulas - Lucrezia Stefanini