Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Sofia Kenin		Anastasia Potapova

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.98	1.8
	1.92	1.89	Watch
	1.88	2.02
	1.89	1.89	Watch
	2	1.8
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.92	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.88)	1.89 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sofia Kenin
49.5%

Anastasia Potapova
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofia Kenin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Anastasia Potapova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anastasia Potapova than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Sofia Kenin - Anastasia Potapova Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Kenin will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Potapova will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kenin: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sofia Kenin will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kenin is ranked WTA: 32. Potapova is ranked WTA: 39.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Kenin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kenin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofia Kenin
WTA Madrid
25.04.25	Sofia Kenin - Lulu Sun	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
06.04.25	Jessica Pegula - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Amanda Anisimova - Sofia Kenin	Anisimova A. retired ✺
04.04.25	Sofia Kenin - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WL?WW
- Anastasia Potapova
WTA Madrid
25.04.25	Anastasia Potapova - Qinwen Zheng	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Ashlyn Krueger - Anastasia Potapova	1:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
18.04.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Anastasia Potapova	Sabalenka A. walkover ✺
14.04.25	Anastasia Potapova - Clara Tauson	2:1 ✺
WTA Miami
19.03.25	Anastasia Potapova - Kimberly Birrell	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WW?WL

Latest Head to Head

WTA San Diego
14.09.23	Anastasia Potapova - Sofia Kenin	0:2

Sofia Kenin - Anastasia Potapova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide