Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Slovakia	Voyo
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Polina Kudermetova		Sofia Kenin

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.47	Watch
	2.75	1.5
	2.54	1.52	Watch
	2.63	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.82)	1.5 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polina Kudermetova
36.3%

Sofia Kenin
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polina Kudermetova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Sofia Kenin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polina Kudermetova than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polina Kudermetova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sofia Kenin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Polina Kudermetova - Sofia Kenin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kudermetova will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kenin will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kudermetova is ranked WTA: 76. Kenin is ranked WTA: 26.

Kudermetova is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kenin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kenin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kenin might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kudermetova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polina Kudermetova
WTA Beijing
24.09.25	Polina Kudermetova - Maddison Inglis	2:0 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
09.09.25	Polina Kudermetova - Marina Stakusic	1:2 ✺
WTA US Open
27.08.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Polina Kudermetova	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Polina Kudermetova	Parrizas-Diaz N. retired ✺
WTA Cleveland
19.08.25	Eva Lys - Polina Kudermetova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLL?L
- Sofia Kenin
WTA Seoul
17.09.25	Maya Joint - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Laura Siegemund - Sofia Kenin	1:2 ✺
WTA US Open
26.08.25	Ashlyn Krueger - Sofia Kenin	2:1 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
10.08.25	Sofia Kenin - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
29.07.25	Sofia Kenin - Victoria Mboko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLL

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