Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wuhan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Wuhan 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Leylah Annie Fernandez		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	1.73	2.10	Watch
	1.72	2.10
	1.71	2.14	Watch
	1.72	2.12	Watch
	1.74	2.16
	1.74	2.14	Watch
	1.75	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.8)	2.13 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leylah Annie Fernandez
55.2%

Jelena Ostapenko
44.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leylah Annie Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leylah Annie Fernandez than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fernandez will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ostapenko (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fernandez is ranked WTA: 25., and Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 34..

Fernandez has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Ostapenko have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Fernandez could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Fernandez has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Wuhan
14.10.26	Han Shi - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Leylah Annie Fernandez	1:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
03.10.26	Kamilla Rakhimova - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:1 ✺
WTA Singapore
27.09.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Talia Gibson	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Maja Chwalinska	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWW
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Wuhan
14.10.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Jessica Pegula	2:1 ✺
13.10.26	Darya Kasatkina - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
05.10.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Paula Badosa	2:0 ✺
WTA Seoul
24.09.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Taylah Preston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
30.06.21	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2

Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jelena Ostapenko