Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Sorana Cirstea		Karolina Muchova

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.78
	1.91	1.85	Watch
	1.95	1.93
	1.96	1.85	Watch
	2	1.8
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	2.2	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.3)	1.81 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sorana Cirstea
47.8%

Karolina Muchova
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorana Cirstea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sorana Cirstea's performance.

Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karolina Muchova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorana Cirstea than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sorana Cirstea that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karolina Muchova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.8%	0%	21.2%

Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Cirstea will win (votes: 26 - 78.8%). Muchova will win (votes: 7 - 21.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cirstea: 64.9% – 92.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Cirstea (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Games - Cirstea (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sorana Cirstea will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Cirstea (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Muchova (votes: 2 - 11.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Cirstea is ranked WTA: 71. Muchova is ranked WTA: 13.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cirstea won 1.

Cirstea has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Muchova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cirstea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cirstea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.5:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Sorana Cirstea - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 41.33%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorana Cirstea
WTA US Open
26.08.25	Sorana Cirstea - Solana Sierra	2:0 ✺
WTA Cleveland
23.08.25	Sorana Cirstea - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Sorana Cirstea - Anastasia Zakharova	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Sorana Cirstea	0:2 ✺
20.08.25	Sorana Cirstea - Jil Belen Teichmann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWW
- Karolina Muchova
WTA US Open
25.08.25	Venus Williams - Karolina Muchova	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
12.08.25	Varvara Gracheva - Karolina Muchova	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Caroline Garcia - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
03.08.25	Madison Keys - Karolina Muchova	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Belinda Bencic - Karolina Muchova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Dubai
20.02.25	Karolina Muchova - Sorana Cirstea	2:0
WTA US Open
05.09.23	Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova	0:2
WTA Montreal
09.08.23	Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova	0:2
WTA Miami
26.03.23	Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova	2:0
WTA Dubai
21.02.23	Karolina Muchova - Sorana Cirstea	2:0
WTA US Open
05.09.20	Karolina Muchova - Sorana Cirstea	2:1

Upcoming Matches