Match Info

Date: 24 February 2020, Monday


	Stanislas Wawrinka		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.4	2.95	Watch
	1.38	2.82
	1.42	3.08
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.34	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.69)	2.94 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stanislas Wawrinka
67.6%

Francis Tiafoe
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stanislas Wawrinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stanislas Wawrinka's performance.

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francis Tiafoe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stanislas Wawrinka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francis Tiafoe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Stanislas Wawrinka - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: Stanislas Wawrinka will win (131 of 142 users predict this - 92.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.85% – 96.65%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Australian Open
28.01.20	Stanislas Wawrinka - Alexander Zverev	1:3 ✺
26.01.20	Daniil Medvedev - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:3 ✺
25.01.20	John Isner - Stanislas Wawrinka	Isner J. retired ✺
23.01.20	Andreas Seppi - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:3 ✺
20.01.20	Damir Dzumhur - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LW?WW
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Delray Beach
21.02.20	Francis Tiafoe - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
20.02.20	Tommy Paul - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
17.02.20	Tennys Sandgren - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled ✺
17.02.20	Emilio Gomez - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.02.20	Francis Tiafoe - Denis Kudla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LW?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Basel
24.10.19	Francis Tiafoe - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2

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