Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: WIMBLEDON (UNITED KINGDOM), GRASS - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 6 July 2023, Thursday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Matteo Arnaldi		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.47	2.7
	1.45	2.8
	1.51	2.77
	1.44	2.75
	7.1	1.1	Watch
	5.55	1.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (1.5)	2.34 ↓ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
46.6%

Roberto Carballes Baena
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Arnaldi's form might have worsened.

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+19.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Arnaldi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-19.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.5%	0%	16.5%

Matteo Arnaldi - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Arnaldi will win (71 of 85 users predict this - 83.53%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.64% – 91.42%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Arnaldi in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Carballes Baena is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carballes Baena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arnaldi is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Arnaldi to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Frederico Ferreira Silva	3:0 ✺
28.06.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
26.06.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.06.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Matteo Arnaldi	Canceled ✺
11.06.23	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWW?W
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Mallorca
27.06.23	Corentin Moutet - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
26.06.23	Ilya Ivashka - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
20.06.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:3 ✺
28.05.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Emilio Nava	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLLW

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