Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Stanislas Wawrinka		Taylor Harry Fritz

	1	2
	8	1.08	Watch
	8	1.08	Watch
	8.71	1.1
	7.82	1.08	Watch
	7.5	1.08	Watch
	8.1	1.08	Watch
	8	1.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.02 ↑ (6.09)	1.08 ↓ (1.11)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stanislas Wawrinka
11.9%

Taylor Harry Fritz
88.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

84.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Stanislas Wawrinka - Taylor Harry Fritz Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Wawrinka will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Fritz will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fritz: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Wawrinka (3.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 33.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Taylor Harry Fritz will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Wawrinka (votes: 3 - 30%). Fritz (votes: 7 - 70%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

#ad

Preview

Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 139. Fritz is ranked ATP: 9.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Wawrinka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fritz is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Wawrinka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Australian Open
22.01.26	Arthur Gea - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Laslo Djere - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:3 ✺
ATP United Cup
11.01.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Stanislas Wawrinka - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	Stanislas Wawrinka - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLL
- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Australian Open
22.01.26	Vit Kopriva - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:3 ✺
20.01.26	Valentin Royer - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:3 ✺
ATP United Cup
10.01.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0
ATP Tokyo
02.10.18	Stanislas Wawrinka - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.16	Taylor Harry Fritz - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:3

Upcoming Matches