Match Info

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Taylor Harry Fritz

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.80	1.25
	3.95	1.26
	3.76	1.24	Watch
	3.9	1.25
	3.96	1.27	Watch
	3.85	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (5.6)	1.25 ↑ (1.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
24.4%

Taylor Harry Fritz
75.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

83.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Arnaldi's performance.

Taylor Harry Fritz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taylor Harry Fritz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Matteo Arnaldi - Taylor Harry Fritz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 38., and Fritz is ranked ATP: 12..

In recent outings, Arnaldi has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Fritz is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Arnaldi may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Fritz is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Arnaldi has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Bernard Tomic - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
02.10.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Rei Sakamoto	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Matteo Arnaldi - James Duckworth	1:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Martin Landaluce - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLL
- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
27.09.26	Rafael Jodar - Taylor Harry Fritz	Canceled ✺
26.09.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
05.09.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Francisco Cerundolo	2:3 ✺
03.09.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Mattia Bellucci	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 L?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Washington
24.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0
ATP Acapulco
26.02.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1

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