Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: United Cup - Play Offs, hard

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday


	Stanislas Wawrinka		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	2
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.76	2.02	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.8	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.59)	2.05 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stanislas Wawrinka
54.2%

Sebastian Baez
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	0%	72.2%

Stanislas Wawrinka - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Wawrinka will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Baez will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Wawrinka (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Baez (votes: 9 - 69.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 2nd Set - Baez (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Baez (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Wawrinka (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Baez (votes: 11 - 73.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 156. Baez is ranked ATP: 43.

Baez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP United Cup
04.01.26	Flavio Cobolli - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
02.01.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2 ✺
ATP Athens
05.11.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWLWL
- Sebastian Baez
ATP United Cup
03.01.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
01.01.26	Jaume Munar - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Sebastian Baez - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Cameron Norrie - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
21.10.25	Sebastian Baez - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WWLLL

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