Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stockholm (Sweden), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Sweden	SVT Play, SVT


	Stanislas Wawrinka		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	4.5	1.2	Watch
	4.1	1.22
	4.5	1.21	Watch
	4.95	1.21
	4.32	1.25
	4.5	1.2	Watch
	4.23	1.23	Watch
	4.5	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (3.48)	1.22 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stanislas Wawrinka
21.5%

Tommy Paul
78.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

72.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stanislas Wawrinka's form might have worsened.

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tommy Paul's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stanislas Wawrinka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tommy Paul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Stanislas Wawrinka - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 217. Paul is ranked ATP: 13.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Paul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Paul is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Wawrinka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Stockholm
18.10.24	Andrey Rublev - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
17.10.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2 ✺
16.10.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.24	Flavio Cobolli - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
03.10.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWWLW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Stockholm
18.10.24	Tommy Paul - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Tommy Paul - Laslo Djere	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
09.10.24	Tommy Paul - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Tommy Paul - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	Tommy Paul - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
16.06.22	Tommy Paul - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0
ATP Paris
04.11.20	Stanislas Wawrinka - Tommy Paul	2:1

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