Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chicago, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday


	Stefan Dostanic		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	1.75	1.9	Watch
	1.84	2
	1.80	1.97	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	1.79	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.25)	1.84 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefan Dostanic
48.8%

Bernard Tomic
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefan Dostanic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefan Dostanic's performance.

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bernard Tomic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefan Dostanic than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefan Dostanic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bernard Tomic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Stefan Dostanic - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Dostanic will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Tomic will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dostanic: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dostanic (votes: 1 - 50%). Tomic (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dostanic is ranked ATP: 424. Tomic is ranked ATP: 211.

Dostanic has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tomic is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dostanic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tomic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Tomic will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dostanic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefan Dostanic
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Stefan Dostanic - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
28.07.25	Patrick Maloney - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Jaden Weekes - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Tung-Lin Wu - Stefan Dostanic	2:0 ✺
30.06.25	Stefan Dostanic - Andres Martin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLL
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Zachary Svajda - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Bernard Tomic - Eliot Spizzirri	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Giles Hussey - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Bernard Tomic - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Samir Banerjee - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.08.23	Bernard Tomic - Stefan Dostanic	2:1

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