Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Oeiras 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Stefan Kozlov		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.6	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.21)	1.61 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefan Kozlov
42.5%

Francesco Passaro
57.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefan Kozlov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Stefan Kozlov - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kozlov will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Passaro will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kozlov: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Kozlov (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Passaro (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Passaro (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Kozlov (votes: 4 - 50%). Passaro (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kozlov is ranked ATP: 285. Passaro is ranked ATP: 140.

Kozlov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kozlov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefan Kozlov - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.55%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefan Kozlov
ATP Challenger
20.01.26	Alexis Galarneau - Stefan Kozlov	1:2 ✺
19.01.26	Stefan Kozlov - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Stefan Kozlov - Robert Strombachs	Strombachs R. retired ✺
13.01.26	Harry Wendelken - Stefan Kozlov	2:1 ✺
08.01.26	Stefan Kozlov - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WW?LL
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
20.01.26	Calvin Hemery - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Tristan Boyer - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Mark Lajal - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.11.25	Francesco Passaro - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Francesco Passaro - Lorenzo Sciahbasi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLW

Stefan Kozlov - Francesco Passaro