Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Metepec, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Stefan Kozlov		Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.75	1.97	Watch
	1.83	2.04
	1.71	2.04	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.94	Watch
	1.75	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.82)	2.01 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefan Kozlov
53.5%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefan Kozlov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefan Kozlov than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Stefan Kozlov - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stefan Kozlov will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kozlov is ranked ATP: 272. Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 228.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kozlov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.26%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefan Kozlov
ATP Challenger
18.02.26	Stefan Kozlov - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Stefan Kozlov - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Stefan Dostanic - Stefan Kozlov	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Stefan Kozlov - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Stefan Kozlov - Raphael Perot	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WW?LW
- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Challenger
18.02.26	Alafia Ayeni - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Guillaume Dalmasso - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
08.02.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL

Stefan Kozlov - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide