Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Stefano DAgostino		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
	2.48	1.48
	2.42	1.47	Watch
	2.2	1.56
	2.31	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.42)	1.51 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano DAgostino
39%

Andrey Chepelev
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano DAgostino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano DAgostino than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Stefano DAgostino - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

DAgostino is ranked ATP: 724., and Chepelev is ranked ATP: 379..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Chepelev is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrey Chepelev - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 62.21%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano DAgostino
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Stefano DAgostino - Gabriele Maria Noce	2:0 ✺
06.10.26	Gianmarco Ferrari - Stefano DAgostino	Ferrari G. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Lukas Neumayer - Stefano DAgostino	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Lorenzo Rottoli - Stefano DAgostino	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Niccolo Ciavarella - Stefano DAgostino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 W?LWW
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
07.10.26	Michiel De Krom - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Max Wiskandt - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.09.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Andrea de Marchi - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLW

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