Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santa Margherita di Pula 9 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Stefano DAgostino		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.2	1.6
	2.22	1.56	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.24	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.42)	1.57 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano DAgostino
41.2%

Andrey Chepelev
58.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano DAgostino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano DAgostino than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Stefano DAgostino - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

DAgostino is ranked ATP: 724., and Chepelev is ranked ATP: 379..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Chepelev holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrey Chepelev - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 62.21%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano DAgostino
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Stefano DAgostino - Gabriele Maria Noce	2:0 ✺
06.10.26	Gianmarco Ferrari - Stefano DAgostino	Ferrari G. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Lukas Neumayer - Stefano DAgostino	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Lorenzo Rottoli - Stefano DAgostino	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Niccolo Ciavarella - Stefano DAgostino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 W?LWW
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
07.10.26	Michiel De Krom - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Max Wiskandt - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.09.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Andrea de Marchi - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLW

Stefano DAgostino - Andrey Chepelev

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Stefano DAgostino - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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