Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Giorgio Tabacco		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.87	1.83
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.86
	1.85	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.97)	1.83 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giorgio Tabacco
49.6%

Andrey Chepelev
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giorgio Tabacco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giorgio Tabacco than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Giorgio Tabacco - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tabacco is ranked ATP: 700., and Chepelev is ranked ATP: 379..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Tabacco could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giorgio Tabacco
ITF Tournaments
06.10.26	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Giorgio Tabacco	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Petr Nesterov - Giorgio Tabacco	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.09.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Finn Murgett	1:2 ✺
23.09.26	Georgii Kravchenko - Giorgio Tabacco	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Fausto Tabacco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWL
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
07.10.26	Michiel De Krom - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Max Wiskandt - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.09.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Andrea de Marchi - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
17.09.26	Lorenzo Comino - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLWW

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