Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday


	Stefano Napolitano		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.70	1.41	Watch
			Watch
	2.73	1.4	Watch
	2.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.39)	1.41 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
34.3%

Alexis Galarneau
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Stefano Napolitano - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alexis Galarneau will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexis Galarneau will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Napolitano is ranked ATP: 530. Galarneau is ranked ATP: 180.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Galarneau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Galarneau is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexis Galarneau - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.25%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Ziga Sesko - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Gabriele Volpi - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Leonardo Rossi - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Rinky Hijikata - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Stefano Napolitano - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLW
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
25.10.25	Hugo Gaston - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Clement Tabur - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
23.10.25	Arthur Bouquier - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Alexis Galarneau - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Alexis Galarneau - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWL

Stefano Napolitano - Alexis Galarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide