Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Biella, clay - Final

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Stefano Napolitano		Kilian Feldbausch

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.66	2.14	Watch
	1.81	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.58)	1.97 ↓ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
52.7%

Kilian Feldbausch
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stefano Napolitano's form might have worsened.

Kilian Feldbausch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kilian Feldbausch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stefano Napolitano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilian Feldbausch than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kilian Feldbausch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Stefano Napolitano - Kilian Feldbausch Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Napolitano will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Feldbausch will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napolitano: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Napolitano (votes: 2 - 50%). Feldbausch (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Napolitano is ranked ATP: 847. Feldbausch is ranked ATP: 386.

Now, both players are in good form.

Napolitano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Napolitano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
13.09.25	Stefano Napolitano - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Stefano Napolitano - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Stefano Napolitano - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Stefano Napolitano - Giorgio Tabacco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWL
- Kilian Feldbausch
ATP Challenger
13.09.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Luka Mikrut	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Marko Topo - Kilian Feldbausch	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Tom Gentzsch - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWL

Stefano Napolitano - Kilian Feldbausch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide