Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brest, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Hugo Gaston		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.4	2.65	Watch
	1.40	2.73	Watch
			Watch
	1.43	2.82	Watch
	1.48	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.84)	2.68 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
65.3%

Alexis Galarneau
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hugo Gaston's performance.

Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexis Galarneau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hugo Gaston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexis Galarneau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Hugo Gaston - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Galarneau will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Gaston (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaston (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 113. Galarneau is ranked ATP: 187.

Gaston is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Galarneau's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gaston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gaston won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Gaston - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Alexis Galarneau - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
24.10.25	Arthur Fery - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Calvin Hemery - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Hugo Gaston - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Matej Dodig - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLW
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
24.10.25	Clement Tabur - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
23.10.25	Arthur Bouquier - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Alexis Galarneau - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Alexis Galarneau - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Alexis Galarneau - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Hugo Gaston - Alexis Galarneau	0:2

Hugo Gaston - Alexis Galarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide