Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Luis Potosi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday


	Stefano Napolitano		Facundo Mena

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
			Watch
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.84)	2.59 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
64.2%

Facundo Mena
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefano Napolitano's performance.

Facundo Mena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Facundo Mena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefano Napolitano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Facundo Mena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stefano Napolitano - Facundo Mena Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Napolitano will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Napolitano is ranked ATP: 422. Mena is ranked ATP: 329.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Napolitano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Napolitano could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefano Napolitano - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Stefano Napolitano - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Stefano Napolitano - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Stefano Napolitano - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWLW
- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Marc Polmans - Facundo Mena	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Facundo Mena - Maxwell McKennon	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Facundo Mena - Alan Sau Franco	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Facundo Mena - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Dan Martin - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLW

Stefano Napolitano - Facundo Mena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide