Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday


	Marc Polmans		Facundo Mena

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.23)	1.56 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marc Polmans
40.8%

Facundo Mena
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marc Polmans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Facundo Mena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Marc Polmans - Facundo Mena Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mena will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Polmans is ranked ATP: 362. Mena is ranked ATP: 329.

Recent performances by Polmans have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mena is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Polmans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Mena will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Polmans won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marc Polmans
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Marc Polmans - Tibo Colson	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Marc Polmans - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Tyler Zink - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Stefan Kozlov - Marc Polmans	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Shu Matsuoka - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLW
- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Facundo Mena - Maxwell McKennon	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Facundo Mena - Alan Sau Franco	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Facundo Mena - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Dan Martin - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.07.16	Marc Polmans - Facundo Mena	0:2

Marc Polmans - Facundo Mena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide