Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Stefano Travaglia		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
			Watch
	2.42	1.5
	2.52	1.56
	2.34	1.54	Watch
	2.38	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.39)	1.53 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
38.6%

Henrique Rocha
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Stefano Travaglia - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Travaglia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Rocha will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rocha (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Rocha (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Travaglia (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Travaglia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rocha (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Travaglia is ranked ATP: 239. Rocha is ranked ATP: 171.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Rocha might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Rocha will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Alexander Ritschard - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Stefano Travaglia - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Stefano Travaglia - Federico Arnaboldi	Arnaboldi F. walkover ✺
06.09.25	Stefano Travaglia - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWW?L
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Henrique Rocha - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Pedro Araujo - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Henrique Rocha	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW

Stefano Travaglia - Henrique Rocha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide