Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday


	Stefano Travaglia		Milos Karol

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.61	2.18
	1.71	2.13
	1.35	3.00	Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (2.05)	2.36 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
60.1%

Milos Karol
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefano Travaglia's performance.

Milos Karol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milos Karol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefano Travaglia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milos Karol than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milos Karol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stefano Travaglia - Milos Karol Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Travaglia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Travaglia (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Travaglia (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Travaglia is ranked ATP: 207. Karol is ranked ATP: 449.

Travaglia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Karol's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Travaglia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Travaglia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefano Travaglia - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.97%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Patrick Kypson - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Stefano Travaglia - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Eero Vasa - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Stefano Travaglia - Stuart Parker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWWW
- Milos Karol
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Milos Karol - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Milos Karol - Niels Visker	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Milos Karol - Filip Pieczonka	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Milos Karol - Tom Gentzsch	1:2 ✺
27.10.25	Jan Choinski - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.11.24	Milos Karol - Stefano Travaglia	2:0

Stefano Travaglia - Milos Karol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide