Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2 (Greece), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday


	Stefanos Sakellaridis		Christoph Negritu

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.7	Watch
	2.01	1.71	Watch
	2.15	1.72
	2.1	1.71	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.02	1.73	Watch
	2.01	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.2)	1.71 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Sakellaridis
45.4%

Christoph Negritu
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Sakellaridis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefanos Sakellaridis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Christoph Negritu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Stefanos Sakellaridis - Christoph Negritu Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sakellaridis will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Negritu will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sakellaridis: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 452. Negritu is ranked ATP: 320.

Sakellaridis is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Negritu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefanos Sakellaridis - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.11%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Christoph Negritu - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.89%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Sakellaridis
ATP Challenger
10.03.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.02.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Florian Broska	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLWWW
- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
10.03.25	Christoph Negritu - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
06.03.25	Edas Butvilas - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
04.03.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Christoph Negritu - Max Hans Rehberg	0:2 ✺
17.02.25	Christoph Negritu - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLW

Stefanos Sakellaridis - Christoph Negritu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide