Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Stefanos Sakellaridis		Gustavo Heide

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.43	Watch
	2.84	1.45
	2.63	1.43	Watch
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.62	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.23)	1.44 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Sakellaridis
35%

Gustavo Heide
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Sakellaridis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stefanos Sakellaridis's form might have worsened.

Gustavo Heide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gustavo Heide's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Stefanos Sakellaridis - Gustavo Heide Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 200. Heide is ranked ATP: 209.

Recent performances by Sakellaridis have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Heide is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Heide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Heide will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Heide will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Sakellaridis
ATP Challenger
05.05.26	Toby Samuel - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Diego Pinna	2:0
24.04.26	Jacopo Vasami - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWL
- Gustavo Heide
ATP Challenger
05.05.26	Gustavo Heide - Lilian Marmousez	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Gustavo Heide - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Gustavo Heide	Justo G. I./Villanueva G. Walkover ✺
09.04.26	Johan Nikles - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWW?W

Stefanos Sakellaridis - Gustavo Heide: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide