Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Stefanos Sakellaridis

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.47
	2.51	1.57
	2.44	1.5	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.34	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (1.96)	1.52 ↓ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
38.4%

Stefanos Sakellaridis
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Pellegrino's form might have worsened.

Stefanos Sakellaridis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefanos Sakellaridis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Pellegrino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefanos Sakellaridis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Andrea Pellegrino - Stefanos Sakellaridis Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Sakellaridis will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sakellaridis: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 130. Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 214.

Recent form of Pellegrino has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sakellaridis is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sakellaridis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sakellaridis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Sakellaridis will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
11.04.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Andrea Pellegrino	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Andrea Pellegrino	Pellegrino A. Retired ✺
ATP Marrakech
29.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Timofey Skatov	Pellegrino A. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
25.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Vitaliy Sachko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 L???L
- Stefanos Sakellaridis
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Diego Pinna	2:0
24.04.26	Jacopo Vasami - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Henri Squire - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW

Andrea Pellegrino - Stefanos Sakellaridis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide