Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Toby Samuel		Stefanos Sakellaridis

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	2.05	1.8
	1.98	1.74	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.9	1.78	Watch
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.73)	1.83 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toby Samuel
49%

Stefanos Sakellaridis
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toby Samuel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Stefanos Sakellaridis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Toby Samuel - Stefanos Sakellaridis Predictions

Users Predictions: Stefanos Sakellaridis will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Samuel is ranked ATP: 163. Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 214.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sakellaridis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Samuel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Raul Brancaccio - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Toby Samuel - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Toby Samuel	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Daniel Rincon - Toby Samuel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWW
- Stefanos Sakellaridis
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Diego Pinna	2:0
24.04.26	Jacopo Vasami - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.04.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Toby Samuel	1:2
07.03.26	Toby Samuel - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0

Toby Samuel - Stefanos Sakellaridis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide