Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: FINALS - TURIN (WORLD), HARD (INDOOR)

Date: 17 November 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Eurosport 2
Italy	Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Eurosport 2
Norway	Eurosport 2
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Andrey Rublev		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.15	1.7	Watch
	2.21	1.74
	2.22	1.74
	2.3	1.62
	2.26	1.64	Watch
	2.22	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.4)	1.68 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
43%

Alexander Zverev
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.5%	0%	74.5%

Andrey Rublev - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Rublev will win (votes: 13 - 25.5%). Zverev will win (votes: 38 - 74.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 62.5% – 86.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rublev won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Zverev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Rublev won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP World Tour Finals
15.11.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
13.11.23	Daniil Medvedev - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
04.11.23	Novak Djokovic - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
03.11.23	Alex De Minaur - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
02.11.23	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWW
- Alexander Zverev
ATP World Tour Finals
15.11.23	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
13.11.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
02.11.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
01.11.23	Ugo Humbert - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
31.10.23	Marton Fucsovics - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
27.10.23	Alexander Zverev - Andrey Rublev	1:2
ATP Bastad
21.07.23	Alexander Zverev - Andrey Rublev	0:2
ATP Dubai
03.03.23	Alexander Zverev - Andrey Rublev	0:2
ATP Cincinnati
22.08.21	Andrey Rublev - Alexander Zverev	0:2
Exhibition Adria Tour Men
21.06.20	Alexander Zverev - Andrey Rublev	0:2
ATP Australian Open
27.01.20	Andrey Rublev - Alexander Zverev	0:3
ATP Shanghai
10.10.19	Alexander Zverev - Andrey Rublev	2:0

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