Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Benjamin Bonzi

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.44	2.8	Watch
	1.52	2.71
	1.43	2.74	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.51	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.51)	2.77 ↑ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
65.8%

Benjamin Bonzi
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Benjamin Bonzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefanos Tsitsipas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benjamin Bonzi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Benjamin Bonzi Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Tsitsipas will win (votes: 8 - 25%). Bonzi will win (votes: 24 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bonzi: 60% – 90%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Tsitsipas (1.85) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Bonzi (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Bonzi (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benjamin Bonzi will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Tsitsipas (votes: 4 - 16%). Bonzi (votes: 21 - 84%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 29. Bonzi is ranked ATP: 63.

Tsitsipas is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Bonzi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bonzi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tsitsipas is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tsitsipas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Christopher OConnell	1:2 ✺
ATP Hopman Cup
19.07.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Valentin Royer - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Tsitsipas S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLL?
- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
07.08.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Adam Walton - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
21.07.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Jordan Thompson - Benjamin Bonzi	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Benjamin Bonzi - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Bonzi B. retired
ATP Mallorca
24.06.22	Benjamin Bonzi - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2
ATP Halle
14.06.22	Benjamin Bonzi - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2

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