Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Doha (Qatar), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Finland	MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3


	Matteo Berrettini		Jack Draper

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.22	1.64	Watch
	2.27	1.71
	2.16	1.69	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.24	1.66	Watch
	2.22	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.76)	1.67 ↓ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
43%

Jack Draper
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Berrettini's form might have worsened.

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jack Draper's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Berrettini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jack Draper, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.4%	0%	67.6%

Matteo Berrettini - Jack Draper Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 12 - 33.3%). Draper will win (votes: 24 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draper: 51.3% – 82.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 35. Draper is ranked ATP: 16.

Recent matches Berrettini is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Draper is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Draper to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Berrettini won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Doha
19.02.25	Matteo Berrettini - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
18.02.25	Novak Djokovic - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
05.02.25	Matteo Berrettini - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
16.01.25	Matteo Berrettini - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:3 ✺
13.01.25	Matteo Berrettini - Cameron Norrie	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLLW
- Jack Draper
ATP Doha
19.02.25	Christopher OConnell - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
17.02.25	Alexei Popyrin - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.25	Jack Draper - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Draper J. retired ✺
17.01.25	Jack Draper - Aleksandar Vukic	3:2 ✺
15.01.25	Jack Draper - Thanasi Kokkinakis	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WW?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stuttgart
16.06.24	Jack Draper - Matteo Berrettini	2:1

Matteo Berrettini - Jack Draper: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide