Match Info

Date: 17 February 2021, Wednesday


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Rafael Nadal

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45	Watch
	2.7	1.47
	2.65	1.44
	2.86	1.48
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.98	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.93)	1.47 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
34.8%

Rafael Nadal
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Rafael Nadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Nadal than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.8%	0%	67.2%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Rafael Nadal Predictions

Users Predictions: 131 users predict this event. Tsitsipas will win (votes: 43 - 32.8%). Nadal will win (votes: 88 - 67.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nadal: 59.2% – 75.2%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Both players in the last matches got series of victories.

Nadal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nadal will have a small advantage in this match.

Nadal will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Tsitsipas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 5-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Australian Open
15.02.21	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini	Tsitsipas S. walkover ✺
12.02.21	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Mikael Ymer	3:0 ✺
10.02.21	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Thanasi Kokkinakis	3:2 ✺
09.02.21	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Gilles Simon	3:0 ✺
ATP Cup
04.02.21	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?WWWW
- Rafael Nadal
ATP Australian Open
14.02.21	Fabio Fognini - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
13.02.21	Cameron Norrie - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
11.02.21	Michael Mmoh - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
08.02.21	Laslo Djere - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
ATP Cup
04.02.21	Rafael Nadal - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cup
04.02.21	Rafael Nadal - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Canceled
ATP World Tour Finals
19.11.20	Rafael Nadal - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1
Abu Dhabi Exhibition
21.12.19	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Rafael Nadal	1:2
ATP World Tour Finals
15.11.19	Rafael Nadal - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1
ATP Roma
18.05.19	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Rafael Nadal	0:2
ATP Madrid
11.05.19	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Rafael Nadal	2:1
ATP Australian Open
24.01.19	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Rafael Nadal	0:3

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