Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Rinky Hijikata

	1	2
			Watch
	1.28	3.50
	1.27	3.65	Watch
	1.27	3.6	Watch
	1.28	3.70
	1.26	3.49	Watch
	1.28	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.32)	3.57 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
73.7%

Rinky Hijikata
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Rinky Hijikata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Rinky Hijikata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 44., and Hijikata is ranked ATP: 82..

Tsitsipas has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Hijikata has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Tsitsipas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Tsitsipas carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Tsitsipas has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:0 (averaging 2.5:0 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Stefanos Tsitsipas - the odds 1.32 are the expected chance of winning is 70.93%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Tokyo
27.09.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Alex Molcan - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Norbert Gombos - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
06.09.26	Ben Shelton - Stefanos Tsitsipas	3:0 ✺
04.09.26	Jiri Lehecka - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW
- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Tokyo
27.09.26	Rinky Hijikata - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
25.09.26	Rinky Hijikata - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Rinky Hijikata - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Rinky Hijikata	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.26	Rinky Hijikata - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
07.10.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Rinky Hijikata	2:0
ATP Australian Open
18.01.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Rinky Hijikata	3:0

Upcoming Matches