Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Rinky Hijikata		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.95
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.36	3.05
	1.37	3.05
	1.38	3.05	Watch
	1.36	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.33)	2.98 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rinky Hijikata
68.6%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rinky Hijikata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rinky Hijikata - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Hijikata will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hijikata is ranked ATP: 82., and Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 75..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Ugo Carabelli could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Hijikata is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Hijikata has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Hangzhou
25.09.26	Rinky Hijikata - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Rinky Hijikata - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Rinky Hijikata	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.26	Rinky Hijikata - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Raphael Collignon - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLLW
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Federico Cina - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Nuno Borges - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Moez Echargui	Ugo Carabelli C. Retired ✺
19.08.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 L?L?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hangzhou
18.09.25	Rinky Hijikata - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0

Rinky Hijikata - Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide